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Malware typically consists of code developed by cyberattacks, designed to cause extensive damage to data and systems. Without any technical sophistication on the attackers’ part, once the data is inside the target network, they have the potential to take it offline.
Cloaking malware is also a growing threat. Researchers believe that hackers might soon move to embed data that could target the organizations themselves within malicious programs, thereby rendering the computers of victims more vulnerable to cyberattacks. As if that weren’t bad enough, researchers also are finding that researchers are finding new “time bombs” in malware programs designed to make the attackers’ lives easier.
Even if the underlying code is securely being stored, it’s not always enough for the researchers who study the threat to remain vigilant. The first thing you need to think about is, who’s taking control over this computers? Are there people with power in the network? Can the attackers kill the whole system remotely? There’s so many different things that can happen in cyberwarfare, that it’s just always a matter of time.
Cyberwarfare is nothing new. The U.S. Army’s Cyber Command was created in 2007, for example, to combat threats like these. But McPherson said that their effectiveness has dwindled as more countries are interested in more extreme methods. “They really have moved to hybrid warfare where they’re not just attacking with cyberattacks, but they’re going to try to physically destroy something. This is where the threat of earthquakes come in,” he said.
McPherson, who specializes in analyzing data from malware and exploiting vulnerability, said the worst-case scenario would be when the grid were physically attacked, even though it’s unlikely a group of hackers would have the ability to shut off the grid.
The question is whether groups like the U.S. are prepared to preempt cyberattacks, which some experts say are already occurring. “I think the first time we were vulnerable was 2007,” said Robert Lee, senior vice president of the U.S. Cyber Consequences Unit, which tracks cybersecurity threats for the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission. “What we saw then was probably the oldest piece of code that we had ever seen, and it was a malicious piece of code, but it was not taken very seriously because there weren’t any groups doing it. That may not be the case anymore.
This cyber-attack could also affect a lot more than one reactor or a city. An attack could have an impact on nuclear facilities all over the United States. There are as many as 2,000 nuclear power plants around the world, and if someone decides to target one of them and paralyze a plant, that is something that a serious adversary would do.
In recent years, state-sponsored hackers have also started dropping cyberattack tools on servers run by foreign companies. The goal has been to steal vast amounts of confidential information such as trade secrets, domain names and details about other companies’ data centers.